Oscar Nominee Predictions
Every year I engage in the crapshoot that is prediction the Oscar nominations. The top 8 categories are usually not so difficult. Typically there are 3 or 4 sure-things and a 5th spot that could go to one of 2 or 3 contenders.
This year is really no different. I’d say the Supporting Actor category was the most difficult because there are about 10 performances, most of which have an equal shot at a nomination.
I’ve included some potential spoilers in the top categories. I’ve made picks in the technical categories just for fun, it’s nearly impossible to gauge how the members of the Academy’s Sound Branch are going to choose the 5 films with the best sound recording.
So here’s my list of nominees for all categories (excluding foreign film, animated short, live action short, doc. short):
Picture:
Brokeback Mountain
Good Night, and Good Luck
Crash
Capote
Munich
*Walk the Line
Director:
Ang Lee - Brokeback Mountain
George Clooney - Good Night, and Good Luck
Steven Spielberg - Munich
David Cronenberg - A History of Violence
Paul Haggis - Crash
*Bennett Miller - Capote
Actor:
Heath Ledger - Brokeback Mountain
Philip Seymour Hoffman - Capote
David Strathairn - Good Night, and Good Luck
Joaquin Phoenix - Walk the Line
Terrence Howard - Hustle & Flow
*Russell Crowe - Cinderella Man
Actress:
Felicity Huffman - Transamerica
Reese Witherspoon - Walk the Line
Judi Dench - Mrs. Henderson Presents
Ziyi Zhang - Memoirs of a Geisha
Charlize Theron - North Country
*Joan Allen - The Upside of Anger
Supporting Actor:
George Clooney - Syriana
Matt Dillon - Crash
Paul Giamatti - Cinderella Man
Jake Gyllenhaal - Brokeback Mountain
Bob Hoskins - Mrs. Henderson Presents
*William Hurt - A History of Violence
Supporting Actress:
Michelle Williams - Brokeback Mountain
Amy Adams - Junebug
Catherine Keener - Capote
Scarlett Johansson - Match Point
Frances McDormand - North Country
*Rachel Weisz - The Constant Gardener
Original Screenplay:
Crash
Good Night, and Good Luck
The Squid and the Whale
Match Point
The 40 Year Old Virgin (i think this is the spoiler that will sneak in)
*Cinderella Man
Adapted Screenplay:
Brokeback Mountain
Capote
A History of Violence
Syriana
Munich
*In Her Shoes
Film Editing:
Brokeback Mountain
Good Night, and Good Luck
Crash
Syriana
A History of Violence
Cinematography:
The New World
Munich
Good Night, and Good Luck
Brokeback Mountain
Memoirs of a Geisha
Art Direction:
Memoirs of a Geisha
Charlie and the Chocolate Factory
Batman Begins
Pride & Prejudice
Cinderella Man
Costume Design:
Memoirs of a Geisha
Pride & Prejudice
Star Wars Episode III: Revenge of the Sith
The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe
Walk the Line
Original Score:
Gustavo Santaolalla - Brokeback Mountain
John Williams - Memoirs of a Geisha
James Newton Howard - King Kong
John Williams - Munich
Thomas Newman - Cinderella Man
Original Song:
“It’s Hard Out Here for a Pimp” from Hustle & Flow
“In the Deep” from Crash
“There’s Nothing Like a Show on Broadway” from The Producers
“Travelin’ Thru” from Transamerica
“Remains of the Day” from Tim Burton’s Corpse Bride
*i have a soft spot for “Nobody Jesus But You” from Palindromes
Makeup:
The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe
A History of Violence
Cinderella Man
Sound:
King Kong
Batman Begins
Walk the Line
The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe
Munich
Sound Effects:
Star Wars Episode III: Revenge of the Sith
War of the Worlds
The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe
Visual Effects:
King Kong
The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe
Star Wars Episode III: Revenge of the Sith
Animated Feature:
Tim Burton’s Corpse Bride
Wallace and Gromit: The Curse of the Were-Rabbit
Howl’s Moving Castle
Documentary Feature:
Murderball
Enron: The Smartest Guys in the Room
March of the Penguins
On Native Soil: The Documentary of the 9/11 Commission Report
The Boys of Baraka
